Public inspection exposes transaction links; fixed supply does not stabilize demand.
INVESTMENT VALUATION / CONDITIONAL RESEARCH
Investment valuation & potential research
Separate monetary quality and observed adoption, then examine entry price and the conditions for future outcomes.
01 / QUALITYMonetary qualityHow good is it as money?Rules, rights, security, privacy and purchasing-power outcomes02 / ADOPTIONReal monetary adoptionIs it actually being used as money?Persistent holding, real payments, merchant retention and native pricing03 / VALUATIONInvestment valuationWhat does the current price imply?Price, float, dilution, depth and demand assumptions
Assess each layer separately, without a combined score. Strong quality does not establish broad adoption; broad adoption does not establish a cheap entry price.
OPPORTUNITY & VALUATION
Opportunity & valuation
Start with the research case. Then test what changes at a different entry valuation.
Saved snapshot · not live dataRetrieved 2026-10-01 19:02 UTC
BTC / RESEARCH CASE
Native BTC · L1 · self-custody
Historical circulating cap$1.7THistorical reference
Provider price · USD$84,7662026-10-01 18:59 UTC
Provider circulating supply20.09MBTC~95.7% of reported max supply
What if entry valuation changes?
Circulation held constantVALUATION CHANGE
$1.7T$1.7T
Equals Monero reference cap: 16,581.7%
Monero: $10.27B · 2026-10-01 18:59 UTC · historical referenceA size reference is not a target cap. Demand, functions and risks differ.WHAT CHANGES IN THE CASE
Verify the evidence first
Examine the cap alongside monetary evidence. Relative scale alone cannot establish undervaluation.
Monetary scores unchanged · no return multiple estimatedReview valuation and usage evidence
A common historical purchasing-power sample is available; next check other baskets, beneficial ownership and executable depth.
Use your own cap or supply assumption
For this page only. Leave the upper bound blank for one value. Enter absolute amounts, not millions. Switching projects keeps each assumption; reloading resets it.
Quote definitions, sources & calculations
Bitcoin / CoinGecko ↗ · 2026-10-01 18:59 UTC
Circulating cap is provider-reported. A discrepancy over 5% versus price × circulating supply stops automatic use. This is arithmetic checking, not a supply audit. Quotes older than 24 hours or fallback snapshots are historical; timestamps over five minutes in the future are excluded.
Scenario cap = base cap × 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 5; relative size = scenario cap ÷ reference cap
Circulation is held constant, so only entry price changes. There is no fair-value target or return forecast. Missing evidence stays unknown; low coverage does not remove a project. Research interpretations use the 2026-09-29 evidence snapshot; quotes refresh separately.
Investment market data
Fixed project order, not an investment ranking. Provider-reported volume is neither monetary adoption nor executable depth. Data retrieved: 2026-10-01 19:02 UTC
| Project | Price | Usable circulating cap | Reported FDV | Reported 24h volume | Quote status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HAC | $0.106027 | Unverified | $184.62K | $3,580.80 | Missing / under review2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| PRL | $1.19 | $395.96M | $2.51B | $3.79M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| QTC | — | Unverified | — | — | Missing / under review— |
| BTC | $84.77K | $1.7T | $1.7T | $33.89B | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| XMR | $546.25 | $10.27B | $10.27B | $105.94M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| ZEC | $1,338.58 | $22.71B | $22.71B | $939.13M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| LTC | $67.81 | $5.27B | $5.27B | $292.36M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| BCH | $307.22 | $6.17B | $6.17B | $164.43M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
| DOGE | $0.09496 | $14.83B | $14.83B | $670.25M | Historical reference2026-10-01 18:59 UTC |
Float, unlocks, net issuance and demand transmission need independent review. Without comparable measurements, no fair value, expected return or buying order is supplied.
Reach separate conclusions on quality, adoption and valuation
Monetary quality
Use common properties and weights to assess rules, rights and outcomes, retaining intervals for unknowns. Merchant counts, user counts and market cap add no quality points. Historical purchasing power can be measured; mechanism potential has separate conditions and counterevidence.
Quality rankingReal monetary adoption
Examine the scale, persistence and contexts of actual holding, payments and native pricing. Live features, address growth and exchange volume are not substitutes for adoption evidence. Documentary observations and missing measurements remain distinct.
Adoption evidenceInvestment valuation
Analyze entry conditions using price, float, dilution and executable depth, then test how demand reaches holders. The 0.5 / 1 / 2 / 5× cap scenarios change valuation assumptions, not quality or adoption conclusions. Reference caps are not target caps.
Valuation scenariosThe three layers have no combined score. The former quality-and-relative-cap potential index is no longer displayed; a small market cap does not establish undervaluation.